探花视频

Listen to lone voices

Last updated
五月 22, 2015
Published on
九月 21, 2007

In her attack on Aids dissenters ("The fanaticism of denial that must be exposed", September 14), Tara Smith skirts over a fundamental problem for scientists, namely how to recognise when the majority view is wrong.

Some years ago I suggested, in these pages, an approach that could help answer this question.

Simply put, if a knowledgeable minority persists in attacking a majority viewpoint then this viewpoint is probably wrong.

In the 1980s, for example, every authoritative voice said that stomach ulcers were caused by stress; a minority view, which eventually prevailed, was that a bacterium was responsible.

In 1983, Smith would doubtless have railed against Barry Marshall and Robin Warren as "attention seekers" for holding this minority view, which eventually won them a Nobel prize.

If we apply the above "law" to today's scientific problems we can conclude that our views on the following are wrong: evolution, the Big Bang, man-made global warming and, of course, the causation of Aids.

In contrast, we can accept that influenza is caused by a virus simply because, unlike these other "truths", no knowledgeable minority claims the opposite.

Milton Wainwright
Sheffield

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