In his Autumn Statement, Chancellor George Osborne said: 鈥淪o today I can announce that next year we will provide 30,000 more student places 鈥 and the year after we will abolish the cap on student numbers altogether鈥he new loans will be financed by selling the old student loan book.鈥 (News, 5 December.)
On 25聽November, the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills announced the sale of the final tranche of the pre-1998 student loan book for just 拢160聽million. Its face value is 拢890聽million. This is a disastrous return for the public purse.
The National Audit Office published a聽report three days later, which estimates that聽the student loan book will be worth 拢200聽billion by 2043 in today鈥檚 prices. This was published before the Autumn Statement, so with unrestricted student numbers the watchdog鈥檚 estimate could be too low.
How can Osborne raise sufficient money to聽fund additional student loans under current rules when 拢890 million of the loan book is only worth 拢160 million on the open market? He cannot.
The Autumn Statement paves the way for the abolition of subsidised interest rates on student loans. Only by removing this subsidy can the loan book be made sufficiently attractive to the private sector. And if such a change were brought in, it would surely affect everyone 鈥 even current borrowers.
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